BFCM Guide 2025: How to Actually Make a Profit

Everyone talks about record-breaking revenue during Black Friday & Cyber Monday.

But let’s be honest — high revenue means nothing if your profit disappears in ad spend, fees, and discounts.

Here’s how to make the 2025 BFCM your most profitable season yet, not just your busiest one.

1. Start With a Profit-First Mindset

Most merchants start their BFCM prep by asking, “What’s my discount?”

The better question is: “What’s my margin?”

Before you run any campaign:

  • Set a clear profit goal, then calculate backward to define how much you can spend on ads and discounts.
  • Know your unit economics: COGS, transaction fees, and shipping costs per product.
  • Focus your energy on high-margin products, not just bestsellers.
  • Clean up your product catalog early so you don’t waste ad budget pushing items that barely make money.

2. Run Ads That Scale Without Killing Margins

Meta ads are powerful during BFCM — but they can drain your profit if you’re not careful.

To stay in control:

  • Plan your ad structure early: separate prospecting, retargeting, and retention campaigns.
  • Build creatives in advance: mix evergreen ads that already perform well with fresh “BFCM urgency” offers.
  • Set realistic budgets: it’s easier to scale down than to increase budgets mid-campaign.
  • Monitor performance daily: pause low-margin ad sets fast.

Remember — more sales don’t always mean more money. Track how each campaign affects your actual profit.

3. Design Smart Promos That Protect Margins

Deep discounts grab attention but destroy profits. Instead, use tactics that increase perceived value without heavy cuts:

  • Tiered discounts: offer higher savings only when customers spend more (e.g. “Spend $100, get 20% off”).
  • Free gift with purchase: choose low-cost, high-perceived-value items.
  • Bundles: pair a hero product with slower-moving stock to raise average order value.
  • Urgency tools: use countdowns, limited-time flash sales, or early-access offers to drive conversions.

These give customers a reason to act — without forcing you to slash your prices.

4. Turn Email & SMS Into Profit Engines

Your owned channels are where you can sell without paying for clicks.

This BFCM, structure your emails strategically across phases:

  • Pre-launch: tease offers to loyal customers first.
  • Launch: highlight best-margin products instead of the biggest discount.
  • Mid-campaign: use urgency and social proof (“selling fast”, “almost gone”).
  • Last call: send “price revert” reminders before discounts end.
  • Post-purchase: upsell and cross-sell to build lifetime value.

Segment smartly — VIPs, first-timers, cart abandoners — and tailor your message to each group.

5. Optimize Your Store for Conversions

Don’t let your website leak money when traffic surges.

Before BFCM hits, you should:

  • Check loading speed on both mobile and desktop.
  • Test your checkout — every extra click is a lost sale.
  • Update banners and hero sections with your BFCM deals.
  • Use clear CTAs (“Shop the deal”, “Claim your offer”) instead of generic buttons.
  • Add social proof and trust badges to reduce hesitation.

Your store should make buying effortless — especially when shoppers are ready to spend.

6. Track Profit in Real Time

Here’s the biggest mistake most merchants make: They wait until BFCM is over to calculate how much they actually made.

Instead, track your numbers live. Monitor:

  • Net profit & net profit margin
  • CAC vs LTV ratio
  • Ad spend vs actual profit per campaign

A profit tracking tool like TrueProfit can automate this for you by pulling in your COGS, ad costs, shipping, and fees to show your real-time bottom line.

That way, you can make smarter decisions while your campaigns are running, not weeks later.

Final Thoughts

BFCM 2025 will be louder, faster, and more competitive than ever.

But the brands that win aren’t the ones with the biggest discounts — they’re the ones who know their numbers.

Plan ahead, track everything, and make every sale count toward your profit — not just your revenue.

3 Likes

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Hey @Quan-TrueProfit

I totally agree with you on the upselling point! It’s crazy how many merchants overlook this simple but powerful strategy. When customers are already in the cart, they’re primed to buy, so why not offer them something that complements their purchase?

I always recommend Shopify merchants to use apps like iCart to easily set up cart upsells. You can show related products or bundles that make sense with what they’ve already chosen. Plus, adding a bit of urgency with a countdown timer can really push that last bit of action!

Hi, If you’re chasing hot products, you’ll be chasing forever. Forget the gurus promising $100K/month from gimmicks focus on solving real problems. Physio gear (like braces) converts insanely well because the value is clear.

You don’t need ads to start grow organically on Instagram or Pinterest by posting relatable content. It won’t make you rich overnight, but $200–500/month is realistic.

Skip countdown timers they scream scam. Build trust instead.

Niche down. Don’t run a general store. Cat lovers buy from cat stores, not “everything” stores.

Dropshipping is a real business. Treat it like one. Put in 15–20 hours/week and build a legit-looking site (no default Shopify templates).

And finally, profit is profit. Ignore the revenue screenshots. Focus on your margins.